Forum Overview :: Balance of Power
 
If Trump says it, it's a fucking lie. by When will you learn? 10/17/2024, 9:33am PDT
Central to Trump's claim that crime has "skyrocketed" is a federal survey which estimates national crime rates by asking a sample of people whether they experienced a crime in the last six months.

In a recent post on social media, Trump said, "Compared to 2020, violent crime is up nearly 40 percent." That figure aligns with estimates from the latest National Crime Victimization Survey, known as the NCVS, by the Department of Justice, which found that the rate of violent crime offenses — defined as rape, robbery and aggravated assault, but not including homicide — was about 37% higher in 2023 than in 2020.

The 2023 NCVS showed violent crime likely fell slightly from 2022 levels and was not statistically different from where it was in 2019. Comparing one favorable year of NCVS to a less favorable year is simply cherry-picking the data source without considering the overall trend and without acknowledging a potentially large margin of error. Trump does this because he is a desperate piece of shit who is only running to not be in prison for his numerous crimes, corruption, rapes and felonies.

Experts more commonly refer to the FBI's Uniform Crime Report, which tracks crimes reported to police by participating law enforcement agencies. According to that FBI, the rate of violent crimes — defined as rape, robbery, aggravated assault and homicide — was around 6% lower in 2023 than in 2020.

Now... Kamala Harris's claim that violent crime dropped to a "near 50-year low" is accurate, according to analysis by Asher. The 2023 violent crime rate is just slightly above the rates reported in 2014 and 2021, which are the lowest reported since 1970.

It's an accurate statement based on the FBI data, though it is better to say that 'reported violent crime is at or near a 50-year low' for precise accuracy, given that not every violent crime is reported to the police.

Trump always lies. He ALWAYS LIES. If you believe his lies at this point, you're simply a stupid person. Sorry.
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FBI crime status revised upwards by whoops 10/16/2024, 9:14am PDT NEW
    Most of that crime was personally Trump's though. NT by Feris 10/16/2024, 9:58am PDT NEW
    If Trump says it, it's a fucking lie. by When will you learn? 10/17/2024, 9:33am PDT NEW
        ^ This by laudablepuss 10/17/2024, 11:43am PDT NEW
            Dumb people like other dumb people. Whaddya gonna do. NT by pinback 10/17/2024, 1:48pm PDT NEW
                Oh come on, man NT by laudablepuss 10/17/2024, 4:59pm PDT NEW
                    It's true. "whoops" deserves Trump. They're both stupid. by WHO COULD THIS BE? 10/17/2024, 6:35pm PDT NEW
                        Re: It's true. "whoops" deserves Trump. They're both stupid. by laudablepuss 10/18/2024, 2:53pm PDT NEW
        Crime was revised upwards by whoops 10/17/2024, 7:19pm PDT NEW
            What was that, you lying cunt? by Mysterio 10/18/2024, 9:43am PDT NEW
                Come on man. Whoops cares about crime. Which is why he supports someone NT by convicted of 34 of them 10/18/2024, 10:16am PDT NEW
                Re: What was that, you lying cunt? by whoops 10/18/2024, 4:52pm PDT NEW
 
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